Africa
0
Calories per capita per day
= 20% RDA
LAC
0
Calories per capita per day
= 40% RDA
Asia
0
Calories per capita per day
= 11% RDA
SOURCE: FAO
One of the most direct ways disasters affect agriculture is through lower-than-expected production. This causes direct economic loss to farmers which can cascade along the entire value chain – even affecting the growth of the sector or entire national economies.
From 2008–2018, billions of dollars were lost as a result of declines in crop and livestock production in the aftermath of disasters.
Effective Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) policies can help to counter the economic and food security impacts of disasters as well as safeguard people’s livelihoods. But creating and implementing effective policies involves knowing which disasters strike with the greatest impact and where.
Here are the top five most impactful disasters (in terms of their toll on agricultural production systems) to strike least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) from 2008-2018.
Drought has been established as the single greatest culprit of agricultural production loss. Over 34 percent of crop and livestock production loss in LDCs and LMICs is traced to drought, costing the sector USD 37 billion overall.
Drought impacts agriculture almost exclusively; it sustains 82 percent of all drought impact, compared to 18 percent in all other sectors.
Audio from the field
record_voice_overFarmer Lucas, Pakistan
record_voice_overPhilemon Madube, Livestock Farmer, Chivi district in Masvingo Province – Zimbabwe
Floods are the second gravest disaster for the sector, responsible for a total of USD 21 billion of the crop and livestock production loss accrued between 2008-2018 in LDCs and LMICs – this amounts to 19 percent of total loss.
Audio from the field
record_voice_overFarmer Mr Khoybor, Kurigram district, Bangladesh
Storms are nearly as destructive as floods for the agriculture sector. This is particularly due to the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which was the costliest and most hyperactive tropical cyclone season on record.
Between 2008–2018, extreme storms such as tropical hurricanes have caused more than USD 19 billion in crop and livestock production loss accounting for over 18 percent of overall loss.
Audio from the field
Crop and livestock pests, diseases and infestations are an important stressor for the sector. Such biological disasters caused 9 percent of all crop and livestock production loss in the period from 2008 to 2018.
The 2020 desert locust crisis in East Africa will likely exacerbate the role of biological disasters in production disruption, as the region braces itself for significantly reduced crop harvests and major pasture loss in arid and semi-arid regions.
Audio from the field
Wildfires appear to be less impactful to agricultural production systems, responsible for just over USD 1 billion or 1 percent of loss.
This accounts for only the damage caused to crop and livestock production, it does not incorporate loss incurred in the forestry sector, in terms of timber and other systems. The impact of ravaging wildfires scorching through millions of acres across California (2017), Greece (2018), the Amazon (2019), and Australia (2019/2020), to name a few, is likely to be enormous.
We’ve seen how disasters can impact agriculture on a food production and economic level. Yet, the fallout from disasters and extreme events are more extensive and complex than the impacts on productivity alone. Disaster-related production losses can translate into significant – and negative – nutritional outcomes including foregone calories and nutrients.
Here’s how many calories and nutrients were potentially lost following disasters.
Calories per capita per day
Calories per capita per day
Calories per capita per day
SOURCE: FAO
Between 2008 and 2018, the crop and livestock production loss in least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) converts to a total of 6.9 trillion lost kilocalories per year. *
In other words, that’s the annual calorie intake of 7 million adults (based on a recommended dietary allowance (RDA) of 2 500 calories per day).
Iron per capita per day
Iron per capita per day
Iron per capita per day
SOURCE: FAO
Crop and livestock production loss in least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) in 2008-2018 converts to a loss of 994 trillion mg of iron – an average of 256 billion mg per year.
That amount is the annual recommended iron intake of 78 million adult men or 47 million adult women (based on an RDA of 9 mg of iron per day for adult men and 15 mg for adult women).
Zinc per capita per day
Zinc per capita per day
Xinc per capita per day
SOURCE: FAO
Agriculture production loss in least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) from 2008-2018 converts to 21 trillion mg of zinc lost (or an average of 177 billion mg per year). Or in other words, that is the annual recommended zinc intake of 50 million adult women or 36 million adult men. The RDA of zinc is 11 mg per day for adult men and 8 mg for adult women.
Calcium per capita per day
Calcium per capita per day
Calcium per capita per day
SOURCE: FAO
In least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) from 2008-2018, crop and livestock production loss caused by disasters converts to a total of 494 trillion mg of calcium lost.
Based on an RDA of 1 000 mg per day for both adult men and women, that is the annual recommended calcium intake of 9 million people.
Vitamin A per capita per day
Vitamin A per capita per day
Vitamin A per capita per day
SOURCE: FAO
Agricultural production loss in least developed countries (LDCs) and low to middle income countries (LMICs) between 2008–2018 converts to a total of 994 trillion micrograms (mcg) of lost vitamin A. That’s an average of 7 trillion mcg every year.
This corresponds to 21 million adult men or 27 million adult women going without their annual recommended vitamin A intake. The RDA of vitamin A is 900 micrograms per day for adult men and 700 micrograms for adult women.
* FAO analysis using data from FAOSTAT, EM-DAT CRED and USDA.
Disasters are nothing new – not to farmers, nor to the rest of us who rely on them for our collective food security. But the imperative of changing how we manage disasters, at this moment in human history, is existentially pressing.
To be effective, national strategies on disaster risk reduction (DDR), emergency response, resilience and climate change adaptation must be firmly grounded in a comprehensive understanding of the particular impact disasters have on agriculture, including:
The full report, The impact of disasters and crises on agriculture and food security 2021, offers deep insights into how disasters are affecting agriculture, fisheries and aquaculture, forestry, and more. It offers policy makers useful recommendations on how to create agricultural systems that are resilient to disasters, diseases, and climate change.
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