Wheat harvest expected to rise in the EU and worldwide
According to the August forecast of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), the world can harvest 807 million tons of wheat in the 2025/2026 marketing year, 7 million tons more than in the previous season. The expected consumption is about 810 million tons. 214 million tons (+5 percent) of the crop may be traded, and 260 million tons (–1 percent) of wheat may remain in storage by the end of the 2025/2026 marketing year.

(Photo: Pixabay)
According to information from Stratégie Grains in August, the European Union can harvest 133.7 million tons of winter wheat this year, 17 percent more than a year earlier. In terms of quality, the proportion of milling wheat is higher than in 2024, mainly due to the better French and German harvest, while the July rains in the Baltic states and Poland may have reduced the quality of the crop. In France, yield expectations have been revised upwards compared to a month earlier, to 7.4 tons/hectare, so they can harvest 29 percent more than a year earlier this year. In Germany, with an average yield of 7.6 tons/hectare (+6 percent), 21.5 million tons (+18 percent) of crop may go into storage. In Romania, 12.2 million tons (+22 percent) are reported, in Poland 13.3 million tons (+7 percent). In Bulgaria, 7.1 million tons (+2 percent) and in Spain 8.1 million tons (+19 percent) of wheat are forecast. According to the Ministry of Agriculture in Hungary, farmers harvested 5.4 million tons of wheat in 2025 with an average yield of 5.6 tons/hectare. According to AKI PÁIR data, table wheat was traded at an average producer price of 77 thousand forints/ton excluding VAT and transport costs in the second week of August. This price level exceeded the price level a year earlier by 1 percent. Feed wheat was traded at 72.5 thousand forints/ton (+6 percent) at the same time. On the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME/CBOT), the September wheat quotation ranged between 183 and 189 dollars/ton between August 11 and 22. On the Paris Mercantile Exchange (Euronext/MATIF), the September stock exchange settlement price of the crop fluctuated between 193 and 197 euros/ton.
AKI PÁIR
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