GKI: soluble pessimism

According to the forecast of GKI Economic Research Company and Erste Bank, the downfall of the Hungarian economy will reach its nadir in the summer. The external balance has improved spectacularly, the internal meets the international standards.

Worldwide – including Hungary – business and stock indexes increases and the willingness of investor to take risks are strengthening. In Hungary in the second quarter GDP decreased more than expected (by 7.6 percent). In June, the relapse of industry had been moderated and at the construction industry an increase had been registered.
In Hungary, the general government deficit relative to GDP is expected to be around 3.8 percent. Inflation on an annual average will be 4.7 percent. At the end of the year 6.5 percent is expected.