Is the golden age of the economy over forever?

By: Trademagazin Date: 2022. 09. 21. 15:51

Brutal utility bills and store prices, rising loan rates, austerity, impending economic downturn. They are all phenomena that we hope were only triggered by random factors, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine or the Covid epidemic, and therefore will be temporary and quickly recede. However, the situation is not that simple: even if we get over the worst symptoms within a year or two, there are many signs that the condition that characterized the past decades, which almost seems like a golden age in retrospect, will not return. The diagnosis and global economic forecast of the leading analysts of Concorde Ertékpapír Zrt.

Inflation will remain high for a long time

If the previous 20-30 years were – somewhat ironically – called the age of geniuses, because everyone could feel that they could make money from anything they touched, then the next period could be the age of sobering up

– was revealed at Concorde’s press event on Wednesday. The investment company’s strategists agreed that while the era starting in the 1990s and ending with the coronavirus epidemic was characterized by all economically beneficial factors, we have now reached a turning point where everything is about to turn around.

In recent decades (with the exception of the years of the financial crisis), the world has been characterized by relatively stable growth, low inflation, supportive central bank and budget policies, surplus labor, cheap energy and raw materials, and global peace. As a result, asset prices also soared, it really wasn’t difficult to make money with investments. In contrast, what do we see now? Labor shortage, wage pressure, tightening central banks, regress in globalization, inflation is back, growth is slowing down, raw material and energy prices have skyrocketed. In addition, the war broke out in Europe, but it would be a misunderstanding to think that this was solely or even to a decisive extent behind the above factors.

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